Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kouame A.
59' Event
Estama J.
76' Event
Yao-hsing Yu

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship game between Chinese Taipei and Mongolia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chinese Taipei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chinese Taipei
33%
Draws
40%
Mongolia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mongolia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chinese Taipei carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mongolia a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chinese Taipei have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chinese Taipei Clean Sheet 16%
Mongolia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei Mongolia
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia
4:0
Nov 13, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia
2:1
Oct 5, 2017 Friendly International
Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia
4:2
Jul 2, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Mongolia vs Chinese Taipei
0:2
Mar 13, 2005 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinese Taipei Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Estama J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mongolia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei 28 / 100
Mongolia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei Mongolia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Chinese Taipei's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mongolia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei VS Mongolia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guam11002:13
2Macau10011:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hong Kong22005:16
2Chinese Taipei21015:23
3Mongolia20020:70