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Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Chingale de Tete and Baia de Pemba finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chingale de Tete
30%
Draws
34%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chingale de Tete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chingale de Tete are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 36 / 100
Baia de Pemba 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Baia de Pemba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chingale de Tete went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Baia de Pemba conceded in 58% of 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Baia de Pemba
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo71518:68
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Chingale de Tete90451:84
13Baia de Pemba70343:73
14Maxaquene80353:103