Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Chingale de Tete and Costa do Sol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Chingale de Tete
15%
Draws
78%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Costa do Sol come out ahead of Chingale de Tete on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Costa do Sol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 22%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Costa do Sol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol
0:1
Jun 16, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Chingale de Tete
0:0
Jul 2, 2017 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Chingale de Tete
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 16 / 100
Costa do Sol 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chingale de Tete scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Chingale de Tete went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Costa do Sol
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)