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Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Chingale de Tete and Ferroviario Maputo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chingale de Tete
20%
Draws
38%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chingale de Tete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Maputo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chingale de Tete a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
May 7, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 42 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Maputo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Chingale de Tete remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Ferroviario Maputo
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo71518:68
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Chingale de Tete90451:84
13Baia de Pemba70343:73
14Maxaquene80353:103