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Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Chingale de Tete and Ferroviario Maputo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chingale de Tete
30%
Draws
62%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Maputo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Maputo a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.54 0.86
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
May 18, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 28 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chingale de Tete scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Maputo conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Chingale de Tete went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Ferroviario Maputo
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
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Ferroviario Maputo

(Away)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)