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Chions vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tarko D.
18' Event
Bortolussi E.
75' Event
Alessio M.

AI Match Summary

Brian Lignano in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chions
20%
Draws
40%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Brian Lignano have won more games recently than Chions.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chions Clean Sheet 20%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Brian Lignano
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Chions
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolussi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alessio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 32 / 100
Brian Lignano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Brian Lignano let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Brian Lignano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brian Lignano
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Brian Lignano

(Away)
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)