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Chippenham Town vs AFC Totton

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Phillips B.
57' Event
Hallett L.
Own Goal
79'
Hallett L.

AI Match Summary

Chippenham Town in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chippenham Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Chippenham Town
15%
Draws
36%
AFC Totton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chippenham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chippenham Town average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of AFC Totton's 1.07.
  • Model gives Chippenham Town a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chippenham Town AFC Totton
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Chippenham Town vs AFC Totton
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Chippenham Town
1:1
Dec 10, 2013 Southern Premier League
AFC Totton vs Chippenham Town
3:1
Aug 31, 2013 Southern Premier League
Chippenham Town vs AFC Totton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chippenham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AFC Totton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chippenham Town 40 / 100
AFC Totton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chippenham Town AFC Totton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chippenham Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Totton let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chippenham Town scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: AFC Totton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chippenham Town VS AFC Totton
0.88 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Chippenham Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3
Weymouth
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

AFC Totton

(Away)
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Slough Town
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)