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Chippenham Town vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Duffus T.
90' Event
Taylor-Crossdale M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chippenham Town
35%
Draws
32%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chippenham Town lately — more wins on the board than Yate.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Yate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 16%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chippenham Town Yate
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 FA Cup
Chippenham Town vs Yate
2:1
Sep 18, 2026 FA Cup
Yate vs Chippenham Town
0:0
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chippenham Town vs Yate
1:1
Jul 10, 2023 Club Friendly
Yate vs Chippenham Town
0:1
Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Yate vs Chippenham Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chippenham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor-Crossdale M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffus T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chippenham Town 23 / 100
Yate 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chippenham Town Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chippenham Town's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yate has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Yate registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chippenham Town VS Yate
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chippenham Town

(Home)
20 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 1
Chippenham Town
17 Oct
Chippenham Town
1 : 4
Poole Town
13 Oct
Chippenham Town
0 : 2
Frome Town
10 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 2
Chippenham Town
03 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

Yate

(Away)
20 Oct
Yate
1 : 1
Sholing
13 Oct
Malvern Town
3 : 2
Yate
10 Oct
Yate
0 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3
Frome Town
29 Sept
Wimborne
4 : 0
Yate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 12 9 0 3 22:13 27
2 Uxbridge 11 8 2 1 23:8 26
3 Bath City 13 8 2 3 19:10 26
4 Hanworth Villa 13 7 3 3 25:15 24
5 Plymouth Parkway 11 7 2 2 26:12 23
6 Chichester City 13 7 1 5 23:21 22
7 Taunton Town 12 6 1 5 32:25 19
8 Chertsey Town 12 5 4 3 25:18 19
9 Frome Town 13 5 4 4 20:16 19
10 Wimborne 11 5 3 3 20:9 18
11 Gosport Borough 13 5 3 5 19:17 18
12 Berkhamsted Town 12 5 1 6 15:17 16
13 Bracknell Town 13 4 2 7 13:27 14
14 Yate 12 3 4 5 16:25 13
15 Evesham 13 4 1 8 15:26 13
16 Sholing 11 3 3 5 13:17 12
17 Basingstoke 12 3 3 6 19:25 12
18 Hanwell Town 11 2 5 4 10:14 11
19 Malvern Town 13 3 2 8 19:34 11
20 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
21 Havant & Waterlooville 13 2 3 8 18:26 9
22 Chippenham Town 12 2 3 7 11:25 9
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)