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Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Whelan C.
53' Event
Davies D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Chirk AAA FC and Conwy Borough finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chirk AAA FC
20%
Draws
22%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chirk AAA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conwy Borough come out ahead of Chirk AAA FC on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chirk AAA FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirk AAA FC Conwy Borough
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough
1:1
Nov 19, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Chirk AAA FC
1:1
Jul 24, 2022 League Cup
Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 56 / 100
Conwy Borough 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirk AAA FC Conwy Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chirk AAA FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chirk AAA FC scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chirk AAA FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chirk AAA FC VS Conwy Borough
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirk AAA FC

(Home)
26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2
Chirk AAA FC
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1
Porthmadog
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2
Chirk AAA FC
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2
Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7

Conwy Borough

(Away)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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