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Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Whelan C.
53' Event
Davies D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Chirk AAA FC and Conwy Borough finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chirk AAA FC
22%
Draws
18%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chirk AAA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conwy Borough come out ahead of Chirk AAA FC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Chirk AAA FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirk AAA FC Conwy Borough
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough
1:1
Nov 19, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Chirk AAA FC
1:1
Jul 24, 2022 League Cup
Chirk AAA FC vs Conwy Borough
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 56 / 100
Conwy Borough 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirk AAA FC Conwy Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chirk AAA FC scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chirk AAA FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chirk AAA FC VS Conwy Borough
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colwyn Bay302721101:2483
2Holywell Town FC30261375:2279
3Llandudno FC30206470:2366
4Guilsfield30176758:3757
5Ruthin Town301631148:4451
6Prestatyn301441266:5046
7Cefn Druids301341348:6443
8Buckley301261253:6142
9Mold Alexandra301051541:5235
10Gresford301051532:4335
11Porthmadog301031736:5333
12Llanidloes Town30761742:6327
13Chirk AAA FC305111432:4926
14Conwy Borough30581733:6423
15Penrhyncoch30372031:7216
16Holyhead30291924:6915