Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024

Ruthin Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chirk AAA FC play Ruthin Town in the Cymru North 2023/2024. Ruthin Town are favorites here. Recently, Chirk AAA FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Ruthin Town averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Chirk AAA FC won 0, Ruthin Town won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 10, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Chirk AAA FC and 1.05 for Ruthin Town. This points to a Ruthin Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Chirk AAA FC

15%

Draws

61%

Ruthin Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ruthin Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Chirk AAA FC picked up more points recently compared to Ruthin Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 22%

Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chirk AAA FC	Ruthin Town
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	8
Draws	4	5
Losses	22	19
Goals Scored	1.2	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.7	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Ruthin Town

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Sep 23, 2023 Cymru North

Ruthin Town vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Jan 7, 2023 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Ruthin Town

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Sep 30, 2022 Cymru North

Ruthin Town vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Middlehurst L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ruthin Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Clark J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 26 / 100

Ruthin Town 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chirk AAA FC Ruthin Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruthin Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ruthin Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chirk AAA FC attacking → ← attacking Ruthin Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirk AAA FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ruthin Town let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chirk AAA FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ruthin Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 29

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Holywell Town FC	30	26	3	1	79:17	81
2	Flint Town	30	25	3	2	94:30	78
3	Airbus UK Broughton FC	30	23	5	2	84:28	74
4	Mold Alexandra	30	18	1	11	66:50	55
5	Bangor 1876	30	17	2	11	62:55	53
6	Denbigh	30	15	4	11	71:60	49
7	Ruthin Town	30	12	6	12	58:52	42
8	Guilsfield	30	11	7	12	48:46	40
9	Caersws FC	30	10	9	11	60:53	39
10	Gresford	30	10	7	13	47:54	37
11	Buckley	30	10	6	14	54:60	36
12	Llandudno FC	30	10	1	19	59:80	31
13	Prestatyn	30	7	5	18	39:74	23
14	Porthmadog	30	6	4	20	35:66	22
15	Chirk AAA FC	30	3	4	23	32:82	13
16	Llanidloes Town	30	2	3	25	25:106	9