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Chirundu United vs Mutondo Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Chirundu United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chirundu United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chirundu United
15%
Draws
26%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chirundu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars have won more games recently than Chirundu United.
  • Model gives Chirundu United a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Chirundu United Clean Sheet 68%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirundu United Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 1 12
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Super League
Chirundu United vs Mutondo Stars
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirundu United 86 / 100
Mutondo Stars 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirundu United Mutondo Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chirundu United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutondo Stars has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chirundu United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mutondo Stars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chirundu United VS Mutondo Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirundu United

(Home)
18 Oct
Chirundu United
3 : 0
Mutondo Stars
10 Oct
Nkwazi
0 : 0
Chirundu United
04 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
2 : 0
Chirundu United
25 Apr
Chirundu United
0 : 2
Red Arrows
18 Apr
Chirundu United
1 : 0
Zanaco
Page 1 of 2

Mutondo Stars

(Away)
18 Oct
Chirundu United
3 : 0
Mutondo Stars
10 Oct
Kabwe
3 : 2
Mutondo Stars
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)