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Chisola vs Derthona FbC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chisola host Derthona FbC in the Serie D - Group A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Chisola have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Derthona FbC's 0.9 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Chisola have won 3 to Derthona FbC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Chisola. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chisola
35%
Draws
32%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chisola lately — more wins on the board than Derthona FbC.
  • Model gives Chisola a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Derthona FbC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Chisola
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Derthona FbC
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Chisola
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Derthona FbC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 68 / 100
Derthona FbC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chisola scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Derthona FbC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Chisola stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS Derthona FbC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
04 Oct
Celle Varazze
0 : 4
Chisola
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
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Derthona FbC

(Away)
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)