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Chisola vs Ligorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rizzo L.
69' Event
Guerini F.
75' Event
Piredda M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Chisola and Ligorna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chisola
20%
Draws
42%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chisola Clean Sheet 10%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Ligorna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Ligorna
1:2
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Chisola
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Ligorna
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Chisola
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Ligorna
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piredda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 30 / 100
Ligorna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chisola scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ligorna let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Chisola went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS Ligorna
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
04 Oct
Celle Varazze
0 : 4
Chisola
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
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Ligorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)