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Chisola vs PDHA

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ponsat G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Chisola and PDHA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chisola
15%
Draws
0%
PDHA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • PDHA haven't matched Chisola's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Chisola taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chisola have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%
PDHA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola PDHA
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.3 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs PDHA
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Chisola
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Chisola
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs PDHA
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponsat G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

PDHA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 95 / 100
PDHA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola PDHA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PDHA let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

PDHA lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Chisola found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Chisola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 7

PDHA

(Away)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)