Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chitipa United vs Baka City

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sikaona N.
44' Event
Nyirenda R.
51' Event
Muyira S.

AI Match Summary

Chitipa United in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chitipa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chitipa United
35%
Draws
25%
Baka City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chitipa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chitipa United lately — more wins on the board than Baka City.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chitipa United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 68%
Baka City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chitipa United Baka City
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Chitipa United
1:3
Jul 14, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Baka City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chitipa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyirenda R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Muyira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Baka City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikaona N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chitipa United 95 / 100
Baka City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chitipa United Baka City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chitipa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baka City conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chitipa United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chitipa United's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chitipa United VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chitipa United

(Home)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Chitipa United
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 8

Baka City

(Away)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)