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Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chitipa United play Bangwe All Stars in the Super League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chitipa United averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Bangwe All Stars averaged 0.55 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Chitipa United won 3, Bangwe All Stars won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 17, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Chitipa United and 1.25 for Bangwe All Stars. This points to a Chitipa United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Chitipa United
17%
Draws
29%
Bangwe All Stars
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chitipa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Chitipa United picked up more points recently compared to Bangwe All Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 19%
Bangwe All Stars Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chitipa United Bangwe All Stars
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.92 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars
4:0
Jun 2, 2024 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Chitipa United
3:0
Sep 6, 2023 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Chitipa United
0:2
Jun 24, 2023 Super League
Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chitipa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntafu R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nyirenda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bangwe All Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chitipa United 52 / 100
Bangwe All Stars 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chitipa United Bangwe All Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chitipa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Chitipa United & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chitipa United attacking → ← attacking Bangwe All Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chitipa United scored in 50% of their last 38 games.

Bangwe All Stars let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chitipa United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bangwe All Stars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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4Mzuzu City30139831:3248
5Civo Utd301110935:2743
6Creck Sporting301012844:3342
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8Moyale Barracks30912930:2739
9MAFCO30912930:3939
10Kamuzu Barracks30813930:2937
11Dedza Dynamos30715832:3136
12Mighty Tigers308111126:3835
13Chitipa United30781535:4629
14FOMO FC30851720:3829
15Bangwe All Stars30691517:3427
16Baka City30272117:7413