Sport Picks
Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars
Malawi
Super League 2024 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ntafu R.
27'
27'
Nyirenda R.
33'
33'
Gabinho D.
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2024 game between Chitipa United and Bangwe All Stars finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chitipa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chitipa United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chitipa United come out ahead of Bangwe All Stars on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Chitipa United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Chitipa United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 68%
Bangwe All Stars Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chitipa United | Bangwe All Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars
4:0
Jun 2, 2024 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Chitipa United
3:0
Sep 6, 2023 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Chitipa United
0:2
Jun 24, 2023 Super League
Chitipa United vs Bangwe All Stars
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chitipa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ntafu R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nyirenda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Bangwe All Stars Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chitipa United 95 / 100
Bangwe All Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chitipa United Bangwe All Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chitipa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangwe All Stars has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Chitipa United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Bangwe All Stars's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chitipa United VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chitipa United
(Home) 06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0 Creck Sporting
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0 Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0 Chitipa United
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0 Ekhaya
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0 Creck Sporting
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0 Mitundu Baptist
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0 Ekhaya
05 Jul
Chitipa United
0 : 0 Silver Strikers
27 Jun
Chitipa United
2 : 1 Kamuzu Barracks
Page 1 of 4
Bangwe All Stars
(Away) 11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
07 Dec
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 4 Creck Sporting
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
16 Nov
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 0 Civo Utd
Page 1 of 7
11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
31 Oct
MAFCO
0 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Oct
Mighty Tigers
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 58:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:19 | 58 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 42:20 | 55 |
| 4 | Mzuzu City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 5 | Civo Utd | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:27 | 43 |
| 6 | Creck Sporting | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Karonga United | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:30 | 42 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 9 | MAFCO | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 30:39 | 39 |
| 10 | Kamuzu Barracks | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 30:29 | 37 |
| 11 | Dedza Dynamos | 30 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 12 | Mighty Tigers | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35:46 | 29 |
| 14 | FOMO FC | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 20:38 | 29 |
| 15 | Bangwe All Stars | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 17:34 | 27 |
| 16 | Baka City | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 17:74 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
