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Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chkherimela
20%
Draws
52%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chkherimela haven't matched Merani Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chkherimela Clean Sheet 19%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chkherimela Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2017 Liga 3
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
2:4
May 23, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
4:0
May 20, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Apr 12, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
1:2
May 7, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chkherimela 12 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chkherimela Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chkherimela scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Chkherimela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chkherimela

(Home)
22 Nov
Chkherimela
1 : 0
Sulori Vani
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2
Chkherimela
07 Nov
Chkherimela
2 : 4
Odishi 1919
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2
Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1
Chkherimela
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)