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Cholet vs Sochaux

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Cholet Logo

Cholet

1 - 0
FT
Sochaux Logo

Sochaux

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Sub
Renaud T. In: Hafidi H.
Out: Renaud T.
44' Event
Hafidi H.
Assist: Thiam A.
52'
Experience M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2023/2024 game between Cholet and Sochaux finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cholet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cholet
35%
Draws
32%
Sochaux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sochaux come out ahead of Cholet on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cholet a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cholet Clean Sheet 68%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Sochaux
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2024 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Sochaux
1:0
Nov 10, 2023 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Cholet
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafidi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sochaux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 68 / 100
Sochaux 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Sochaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cholet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sochaux has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Cholet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sochaux
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 6

Sochaux

(Away)
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0
Guingamp
14 Aug
Red Star
0 : 0
Sochaux
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)