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Chomutov vs Karlovy Vary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech, Chomutov
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chomutov in this 4. liga - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chomutov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chomutov
15%
Draws
34%
Karlovy Vary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chomutov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chomutov have won more games recently than Karlovy Vary.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chomutov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 16%
Karlovy Vary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chomutov Karlovy Vary
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Karlovy Vary
1:0
Aug 2, 2026 MOL Cup
Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Karlovy Vary
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chomutov 75 / 100
Karlovy Vary 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chomutov Karlovy Vary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chomutov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chomutov's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Karlovy Vary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chomutov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chomutov VS Karlovy Vary
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chomutov

(Home)
03 Oct
Ostrov
2 : 1
Chomutov
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
19 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 3
Chomutov
12 Sept
Chomutov
0 : 2
Slany
05 Sept
Steti
1 : 2
Chomutov
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Karlovy Vary

(Away)
03 Oct
Karlovy Vary
2 : 3
Meteor Prague
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
18 Sept
Karlovy Vary
2 : 0
Sokolov
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
05 Sept
Karlovy Vary
3 : 4
Vysehrad
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