Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chomutov vs Louny

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech, Chomutov
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chomutov in this 4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chomutov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chomutov
15%
Draws
39%
Louny
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chomutov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chomutov have won more games recently than Louny.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chomutov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 10%
Louny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chomutov Louny
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 2.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Louny
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Louny vs Chomutov
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 MOL Cup
Louny vs Chomutov
1:4
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - Group B
Louny vs Chomutov
1:3
Sep 29, 2023 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Louny
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chomutov 34 / 100
Louny 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chomutov Louny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chomutov scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Louny let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chomutov remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chomutov VS Louny
2.25 Goals Scored 2.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Chomutov

(Home)
12 Sept
Chomutov
0 : 2
Slany
05 Sept
Steti
1 : 2
Chomutov
29 Aug
Chomutov
4 : 0
Meteor Prague
21 Aug
Chomutov
5 : 0
Usti nad Labem B
15 Aug
Sokolov
0 : 1
Chomutov
Page 1 of 6

Louny

(Away)
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
06 Sept
Louny
3 : 0
Probostov
29 Aug
Ledvice
1 : 6
Louny
21 Aug
Louny
0 : 0
Zatec
15 Aug
Litomericko
0 : 4
Louny
Page 1 of 6