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Chomutov vs Psary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech, Chomutov
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AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B game between Chomutov and Psary finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chomutov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chomutov
20%
Draws
47%
Psary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Psary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Psary haven't matched Chomutov's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Psary a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chomutov have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 16%
Psary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chomutov Psary
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.1 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Psary
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Psary
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Psary vs Chomutov
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chomutov 23 / 100
Psary 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chomutov Psary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Psary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chomutov's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Psary let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Chomutov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chomutov VS Psary
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chomutov

(Home)
10 Oct
Chomutov
2 : 2
Tempo Prague
03 Oct
Ostrov
2 : 1
Chomutov
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
19 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 3
Chomutov
12 Sept
Chomutov
0 : 2
Slany
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Psary

(Away)
10 Oct
Psary
5 : 1
Brandys nad Labem
04 Oct
Hostoun
1 : 1
Psary
26 Sept
Psary
3 : 2
Tempo Prague
19 Sept
Ostrov
1 : 3
Psary
12 Sept
Psary
1 : 2
Karlovy Vary
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