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Chonburi vs Lamphun Warrior Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Noiwilai N.
29'
Osman M.
33'
Biesamrit N.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chonburi and Lamphun Warrior finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chonburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chonburi
30%
Draws
23%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chonburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chonburi come out ahead of Lamphun Warrior on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chonburi a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 20%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 15
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 League Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Lamphun Warrior
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
2:2
Feb 17, 2024 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chonburi
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Lamphun Warrior
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 49 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chonburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lamphun Warrior has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lamphun Warrior registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Lamphun Warrior
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)