Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Renan Gorne
Assist: Joao Felipe
24'
24'
Marques Barboza da Rocha M.
45'
45'
Joao Afonso
AI Match Summary
Rayong FC in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayong FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rayong FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Chonburi have won more games recently than Rayong FC.
- Win probability leans Chonburi's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 17%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chonburi | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Rayong FC
2:3
Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Rayong FC
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
4:3
Mar 28, 2021 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chonburi Compare
Top Goalscorer Junior S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murillo Dennis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Rayong FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Renan Gorne
1 Goals Assists Leader Amornlerdsak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chonburi 36 / 100
Rayong FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chonburi Rayong FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Chonburi scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Chonburi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chonburi VS Rayong FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chonburi
(Home) 20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2 Chonburi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
Rayong FC
(Away) 20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0 Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
05 Apr
Chonburi
4 : 1 Rayong FC
07 Mar
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
