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Chonburi vs Rayong FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Junior S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Queven
60' Event
Nontharath K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chonburi and Rayong FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chonburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chonburi
30%
Draws
47%
Rayong FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rayong FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Chonburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 17%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Rayong FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Rayong FC
2:3
Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Rayong FC
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
4:3
Mar 28, 2021 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chonburi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Queven
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Lingen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 30 / 100
Rayong FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Rayong FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chonburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Chonburi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chonburi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Rayong FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
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Rayong FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)