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Stadium Background

Chonburi vs Sukhothai

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Saensuk K. In: Hnupichai S.
Out: Saensuk K.
38' Event
van Lingen O.
Assist: Burapha Y.
43' Event
van Lingen O.
Assist: Burapha Y.

AI Match Summary

Chonburi in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chonburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chonburi
30%
Draws
31%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chonburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Chonburi have won more games recently than Sukhothai.
  • Win probability leans Chonburi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 19%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Sukhothai
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Sukhothai
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Chonburi
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Sukhothai
3:1
Nov 10, 2023 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Chonburi
3:2
Apr 4, 2023 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Chonburi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lingen O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sukhothai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 58 / 100
Sukhothai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sukhothai has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Chonburi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chonburi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Sukhothai
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0
Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4
Port MTI FC
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Sukhothai

(Away)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)