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Chonburi vs Thap Luang United

Thailand Thailand

League Cup IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Chonburi Logo

Chonburi

1 - 0
FT
Thap Luang United Logo

Thap Luang United

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Kamonchit A.
49' Event
Burapha Y.
63'
Sub
Artjinda T. In: Khotpakdee N.
Out: Artjinda T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Chonburi
15%
Draws
61%
Thap Luang United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thap Luang United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Chonburi have won more games recently than Thap Luang United.
  • 61% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chonburi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chonburi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 20%
Thap Luang United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Thap Luang United
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 League Cup
Chonburi vs Thap Luang United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Thap Luang United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 36 / 100
Thap Luang United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Thap Luang United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thap Luang United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Thap Luang United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 3 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Chonburi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Thap Luang United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Thap Luang United

(Away)
18 Mar
Chonburi
1 : 0
Thap Luang United
28 Jan
Thap Luang United
1 : 0
Sukhothai
27 Dec
Thap Luang United
1 : 0
Chiangrai Utd

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani 2
Ratchaburi 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Uthai Thani 2
Thonburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 4
Samut Sakhon City 0
Prachuap 2
Bangkok FC 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Uttaradit FC 0
Pathum United 4
Mahasarakham 2
Rayong FC 1
Lopburi City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Satun FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1
Chonburi 5
Thap Luang United 1
Chiangrai Utd 0
Customs Utd 2
Sukhothai 3
Chainat Hornbill 0
Port MTI FC 5
Bankhai United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 1
Kanchanaburi 0
Pattaya United 0
Bangkok Utd 3
1/8-finals
Pattani 2
Uthai Thani 1
Buriram United F.C. 3
Prachuap 2
Muang Thong Utd 0
Pathum United 2
Mahasarakham 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 0
Chonburi 3
Thap Luang United 1
Sukhothai 0
Port MTI FC 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bangkok Utd 2
Quarter-finals
Pattani 0
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 3
Mahasarakham 0
Chonburi 1
Thap Luang United 0
Port MTI FC 7
Khonkaen United 0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C. 0
Pathum United 1
Chonburi 3
Port MTI FC 4
Final
Pathum United 0
Port MTI FC 1