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Chooka Talesh vs Shahrdari Astara

Iran Iran

Division 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bakhtiari M.
42' Event
Bakht D.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Bakhtiari M.

AI Match Summary

Chooka Talesh in this Division 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chooka Talesh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chooka Talesh
6%
Draws
4%
Shahrdari Astara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chooka Talesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shahrdari Astara haven't matched Chooka Talesh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chooka Talesh a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Chooka Talesh Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chooka Talesh Shahrdari Astara
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 0
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Azadegan League
Chooka Talesh vs Shahrdari Astara
3:0
Sep 28, 2022 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Chooka Talesh
1:1
May 19, 2021 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Chooka Talesh
1:1
Jan 4, 2021 Azadegan League
Chooka Talesh vs Shahrdari Astara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chooka Talesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhtiari M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shahrdari Astara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chooka Talesh 95 / 100
Shahrdari Astara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chooka Talesh Shahrdari Astara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shahrdari Astara conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Shahrdari Astara registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chooka Talesh scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chooka Talesh VS Shahrdari Astara
0 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shams Azar Qazvin32217466:2470
2Esteghlal Khuzestan321415347:2157
3Saipa321510730:2255
4Fajr Sepasi321411740:2553
5Kheybar Khorramabad321216432:1652
6Mes Shahr Babak321015724:2045
7Vanpars321291132:2945
8Chadormalu321112932:3145
9Pars Janoobi Jam3211101126:3143
10Darya Babol328141026:2538
11Esteghlal Molasani32716927:4237
12Khoosheh Talai328111326:3335
13Arman Gohar327101528:4531
14Shahrdari Astara325151214:2730
15Shahrdari Hamedan326111516:2929
16Khalij Fars Mahshahr32781721:4229
17Chooka Talesh324101829:5422
18Omid Vahdat Khorasan00000:00
19Shahr Khodrou00000:00
20Qashqai Shiraz00000:00
21Shahin Bandar Ameri00000:00