Sport Picks
Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic
England
National League North Victory Park, Chorley 
Match Events
59'
59'
Allan R.
65'
65'
Smith H.
82'
82'
Calveley M.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Chorley and Scarborough Athletic finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chorley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Scarborough Athletic come out ahead of Chorley on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Chorley Clean Sheet 68%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chorley | Scarborough Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley
0:0
Aug 19, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic
2:2
Jan 28, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley
2:3
Aug 20, 2024 National League North
Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calveley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chorley 41 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chorley Scarborough Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chorley found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Scarborough Athletic has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Chorley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chorley VS Scarborough Athletic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chorley
(Home) 26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
Page 1 of 3
Scarborough Athletic
(Away) 26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
