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Chorley vs Telford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chorley host Telford in the National League North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Telford have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Chorley have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Chorley have won 3 to Telford's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back Chorley to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Chorley
20%
Draws
24%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Telford haven't matched Chorley's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chorley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chorley Clean Sheet 18%
Telford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chorley Telford
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Chorley
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Telford
3:1
Jan 31, 2023 National League North
Chorley vs Telford
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 National League North
Telford vs Chorley
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 National League North
Chorley vs Telford
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chorley 85 / 100
Telford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Telford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Telford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chorley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chorley VS Telford
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

Telford

(Away)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)