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Chotebor vs Sparta Brno

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Chotebor and Sparta Brno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chotebor
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Brno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chotebor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Brno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chotebor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chotebor Sparta Brno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Chotebor
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Sparta Brno
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chotebor 83 / 100
Sparta Brno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chotebor Sparta Brno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Chotebor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sparta Brno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chotebor VS Sparta Brno
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chotebor

(Home)
26 Jul
Chotebor
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
30 May
Chotebor
1 : 0
FC Kurim
24 May
Znojmo
3 : 1
Chotebor
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Sparta Brno

(Away)
25 Jul
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
FC Kurim
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
31 May
Znojmo
5 : 1
Sparta Brno
23 May
Velka Bites
2 : 1
Sparta Brno
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