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Chromtau vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Elder Santana
69' Event
Adilio
71' Event
Lobjanidze E.
Assist: Elder Santana

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chromtau
25%
Draws
37%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chromtau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Zhenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Zhenis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zhenis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chromtau Clean Sheet 18%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chromtau Zhenis
Matches Played 3 27
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 8
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Chromtau vs Zhenis
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chromtau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Elder Santana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adilio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chromtau 32 / 100
Zhenis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chromtau Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Chromtau scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Zhenis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Chromtau stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhenis
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chromtau

(Home)
09 Apr
Chromtau
1 : 4
Zhenis
11 Nov
Chromtau
1 : 0
Vostok Oskemen
06 Nov
Vostok Oskemen
3 : 0
Chromtau

Zhenis

(Away)
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0
Yelimay Semey
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1
Zhenis
26 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Zhenis
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1
Ulytau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 3
Altai 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda 3
Zhenis 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -