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Chuac Lun vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Chuac Lun Logo

Chuac Lun

1 - 12
FT
Benfica Logo

Benfica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2015 game between Chuac Lun and Benfica finished 1-12, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chuac Lun
15%
Draws
85%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Chuac Lun on wins alone.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Benfica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 17%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuac Lun Benfica
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.63 2.97
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Benfica
0:9
Feb 4, 2016 Elite League
Benfica vs Chuac Lun
7:0
Jun 21, 2015 Elite League
Benfica vs Chuac Lun
7:0
Apr 11, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Benfica
1:12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuac Lun 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuac Lun Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Benfica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chuac Lun scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuac Lun

(Home)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)