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Chuac Lun vs Lai Chi

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Chuac Lun Logo

Chuac Lun

1 - 5
FT
Lai Chi Logo

Lai Chi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lai Chi in this Elite League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lai Chi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chuac Lun
15%
Draws
85%
Lai Chi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lai Chi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lai Chi have won more games recently than Chuac Lun.
  • Win probability leans Lai Chi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lai Chi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 20%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuac Lun Lai Chi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 0.63 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.9 4.61
Expected Goals (xG) 3.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Lai Chi
1:5
Mar 19, 2016 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Chuac Lun
4:0
May 10, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Lai Chi
0:4
Feb 8, 2015 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Chuac Lun
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuac Lun 10 / 100
Lai Chi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuac Lun Lai Chi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lai Chi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lai Chi has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Lai Chi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chuac Lun scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lai Chi
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 5.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuac Lun

(Home)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
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Lai Chi

(Away)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)