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Chuncheon vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Lucas Oliveira
58' Event
Lucas Oliveira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chuncheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chuncheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chuncheon
40%
Draws
29%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changwon lately — more wins on the board than Chuncheon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 11%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Changwon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Changwon
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Changwon
2:4
May 31, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Chuncheon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Changwon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 30 / 100
Changwon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Changwon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chuncheon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Changwon
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
04 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Chuncheon
27 Jun
Chuncheon
3 : 3
Yangpyeong
20 Jun
Chuncheon
2 : 3
Siheung Citizen
13 Jun
Chuncheon
1 : 2
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Changwon

(Away)
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0
Geumsan Insam
27 Jun
Changwon
2 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)