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Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Youngyoon S.
65' Event
Kang Min-Jae
90' Event
Heo Dong-Ho

AI Match Summary

Chuncheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chuncheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Chuncheon
15%
Draws
17%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Yeoju Citizen have won more games recently than Chuncheon.
  • Model gives Chuncheon a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chuncheon Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:1
May 2, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Youngyoon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heo Dong-Ho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Min-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chuncheon 86 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chuncheon Yeoju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yeoju Citizen conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Chuncheon's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Chuncheon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chuncheon VS Yeoju Citizen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chuncheon

(Home)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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Yeoju Citizen

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)