Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chur vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2013/2014
Chur Logo

Chur

4 - 3
FT
Lugano II Logo

Lugano II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chur in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chur
15%
Draws
59%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chur have won more games recently than Lugano II.
  • Model gives Lugano II a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chur Clean Sheet 20%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chur Lugano II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2014 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Chur vs Lugano II
4:3
Nov 2, 2013 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Chur
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chur 24 / 100
Lugano II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chur Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Chur scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Chur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lugano II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chur

(Home)
17 Aug
Besa
1 : 0
Chur
31 May
Chur
4 : 3
Lugano II
24 May
Winterthur II
4 : 1
Chur
17 May
Chur
1 : 3
Hongg
11 May
Muri
2 : 2
Chur
Page 1 of 6

Lugano II

(Away)
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
15 Aug
Lugano II
4 : 3
Luzern II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eschen/Mauren 26 15 4 7 60:37 49
2 Rapperswil-Jona 26 12 8 6 55:33 44
3 Cham 26 11 8 7 51:43 41
4 Zug 26 11 7 8 43:39 40
5 Gossau 26 12 3 11 45:53 39
6 Balzers 26 11 5 10 37:31 38
7 Wettswil-Bonstetten 26 10 7 9 37:33 37
8 Mendrisio 26 9 10 7 35:31 37
9 Muri 26 10 7 9 44:49 37
10 Thalwil 26 9 6 11 39:34 33
11 Lugano II 26 9 4 13 32:45 31
12 Winterthur II 26 8 5 13 30:39 29
13 Chur 26 8 2 16 43:65 26
14 Hongg 26 7 4 15 36:55 25
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)