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Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai

India India

I-League 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Chaudhari P.
4' Event
Fernandes B.
26'
Sub
Choudhary F. In: Nikhil K.
Out: Choudhary F.

AI Match Summary

Mumbai in this I-League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mumbai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Churchill Brothers
35%
Draws
22%
Mumbai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Churchill Brothers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Churchill Brothers lately — more wins on the board than Mumbai.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Churchill Brothers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Churchill Brothers Clean Sheet 68%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churchill Brothers Mumbai
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.81 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 I-League
Mumbai vs Churchill Brothers
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai
1:2
Apr 13, 2014 I-League
Mumbai vs Churchill Brothers
4:2
Oct 5, 2013 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai
0:2
Jan 24, 2013 I-League
Mumbai vs Churchill Brothers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churchill Brothers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Mumbai Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sahwney K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill Brothers 95 / 100
Mumbai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churchill Brothers Mumbai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Churchill Brothers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churchill Brothers found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Mumbai has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Churchill Brothers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Churchill Brothers VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Churchill Brothers

(Home)
20 Apr
Mohun Bagan
:
Churchill Brothers
06 Apr
Real Kashmir
1 : 1
Churchill Brothers
30 Mar
Churchill Brothers
2 : 2
Inter Kashi
23 Mar
Churchill Brothers
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
19 Mar
Dempo
1 : 3
Churchill Brothers
Page 1 of 7

Mumbai

(Away)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aizawl FC 18 11 4 3 24:14 37
2 Mohun Bagan 18 10 6 2 27:12 36
3 East Bengal 18 10 3 5 33:15 33
4 Bengaluru FC 18 8 6 4 30:15 30
5 Lajong 18 7 5 6 24:23 26
6 Churchill Brothers 18 5 5 8 24:26 20
7 DSK Shivajians 18 4 6 8 22:30 18
8 Chennai City FC 18 4 5 9 15:29 17
9 Minerva Punjab 18 2 7 9 17:33 13
10 Mumbai 18 2 7 9 9:28 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Qualification)