Sport Picks

Churchill vs Newcastle Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009

Churchill

3 - 6

Newcastle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-6, with Newcastle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Churchill

25%

Draws

35%

Newcastle

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Churchill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Newcastle carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Newcastle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 93%

Over 3.5 Goals 94%

Over 4.5 Goals 42%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Churchill Clean Sheet 10%

Newcastle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Churchill	Newcastle
Matches Played	1	17
Wins	0	8
Draws	0	0
Losses	1	9
Goals Scored	3	2.29
Goals Conceded	6	2.59
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2008 Irish Cup

Churchill vs Newcastle

3:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill 29 / 100

Newcastle 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Churchill Newcastle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Churchill Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Churchill scored in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Defensive concern: Newcastle conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Newcastle has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Churchill VS Newcastle

3 Goals Scored 2.88

6 Goals Conceded 2.75

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 88%

100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Churchill

(Home)

22 Nov

Churchill

3 : 6

Newcastle

(Away)

28 Sept

Newcastle

0 : 5

Banbridge

17 Aug

Grove

2 : 4

Newcastle

18 Aug

Bangor Amateurs FC

3 : 2

Newcastle

02 Dec

Dundela

5 : 0

Newcastle

04 Nov

Newcastle

3 : 0

Rathfriland Rangers

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 3

Ballymacash 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Fivemiletown -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff 1

Warrenpoint 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Raceview 2

Donard 1

Sport & Leisure 0

Dromara 3

Kilmore Rec 3

East Belfast 1

Markethill 2

U. U. Coleraine 4

TBD -

Donegal -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians -

TBD -

Portadown BBOB 0

Tandragee 7

TBD -

Ards -

Limavady -

TBD -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh -

TBD -

Banbridge -

Killyleagh Youth -

TBD -

Lower Maze -

TBD -

Killymoon -

Queens University 3

Desertmartin 0

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Rosario Youth 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Newington FC -

PSNI -

TBD -

Foundry -

Churchill -

TBD -

Seagoe 1

Newcastle 3

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Islandmagee 4

Downpatrick 4

Barn 0

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Moyola 3

Laurelvale 2

TBD -

Hanover -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Holywood 1

Sirocco 2

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Portstewart 3

Comber Rec 2

Bloomfield 1

Grove 4

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown -

TBD -

Saintfield -

TBD -

Wakehurst 0

Dundela 2

Dunmurry Rec 2

Ballynure Old Boys 1

TBD -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Dergview -

Larne -

TBD -

Strabane FC -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Nortel -

TBD -

Magherafelt 0

Draperstown 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 6

Roe Valley 1

Oxford Sunnyside 1

Dungiven 2

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Dunaghy -

TBD -

Crewe 2

Crumlin United 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 5

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Fivemiletown 1

Warrenpoint 3

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Raceview 3

Dromara 4

Kilmore Rec 3

U. U. Coleraine 1

TBD -

Donegal -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians 2

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Ards -

Limavady -

TBD -

Oxford Stars 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh -

TBD -

Banbridge -

Killyleagh Youth 2

Lower Maze 0

TBD -

Killymoon -

Queens University 2

Brantwood 1

TBD -

Tobermore -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Rosario Youth 2

Newington FC 4

PSNI 4

Foundry 3

Churchill 3

Newcastle 6

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 3

Dunmurry Y.M. 2

Ards Rangers 3

Islandmagee 4

Downpatrick 4

Knockbreda 2

Moyola 1

Hanover 3

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 4

Bryansburn 1

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Portstewart 1

Grove 0

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown -

TBD -

Saintfield 0

Dundela 5

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Larne -

TBD -

Strabane FC 2

Dollingstown 6

Nortel 5

Draperstown 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 3

Dungiven 2

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Dunaghy 0

Crumlin United 9

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Annagh 0

Warrenpoint 1

Ballinamallard 3

Dromara 1

Kilmore Rec 0

Donegal 3

Coleraine -

TBD -

Malachians 1

Ards 2

Limavady 5

Lurgan Celtic 1

TBD -

Glentoran -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Armagh 0

Banbridge 2

Killyleagh Youth 2

Killymoon 0

Queens University 2

Tobermore 3

Glenavon -

TBD -

Glebe 0

Newington FC 2

PSNI 6

Newcastle 3

TBD -

Linfield -

Institute -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Islandmagee 3

Downpatrick 5

Hanover 1

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Drumaness 0

Carrick Rangers 5

Portstewart 3

Coagh Utd 2

TBD -

Newry City -

Portadown 5

Dundela 2

Dunmurry Rec 2

Dergview 3

Larne 3

Dollingstown 1

Nortel 0

Loughgall 5

Ballymena -

TBD -

Newbuildings 1

Ballyclare 4

Ballymoney 2

Crumlin United 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Cliftonville 3

Warrenpoint 1

Ballinamallard 0

Donegal 1

Coleraine 3

Ards 0

Limavady 0

Glentoran 3

Lisburn Distillery 3

Banbridge 0

Killyleagh Youth 1

Tobermore 4

Glenavon 3

Newington FC 1

PSNI 0

Linfield 3

Institute 0

Islandmagee 3

Downpatrick 2

Dungannon 7

Bangor FC 6

Carrick Rangers 2

Portstewart 0

Newry City 8

Portadown 8

Dergview 1

Larne 3

Loughgall 1

Ballymena 2

Ballyclare 0

Ballymoney 0

Crusaders 1

1/8-finals

Cliftonville 2

Donegal 0

Coleraine 1

Glentoran 2

Lisburn Distillery 1

Tobermore 0

Glenavon 1

Linfield 3

Institute 1

Dungannon 0

Bangor FC 0

Newry City 1

Portadown 5

Loughgall 0

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 1

Quarter-finals

Cliftonville 1

Glentoran 0

Lisburn Distillery 0

Linfield 3

Institute 2

Newry City 1

Portadown 2

Crusaders 5

Semi-finals

Cliftonville 3

Linfield 2

Institute 1

Crusaders 4

Final

Cliftonville 0

Crusaders 1

Churchill vs Newcastle Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland

Churchill

Newcastle

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Churchill

Newcastle

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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