Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Churriana de la Vega

1 - 0

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Nacho Buil

90'

Garzon D.

90'

Fernandez A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Churriana de la Vega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Churriana de la Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Churriana de la Vega

30%

Draws

34%

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ciudad de Torredonjimeno lately — more wins on the board than Churriana de la Vega.
Churriana de la Vega are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 18%

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Churriana de la Vega	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	11	8
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Churriana de la Vega vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Churriana de la Vega

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Nacho Buil

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 36 / 100

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Churriana de la Vega Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Churriana de la Vega scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Churriana de la Vega went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	46:24	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55:29	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37:26	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	38:29	54
5	Churriana de la Vega	34	14	10	10	32:40	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36:28	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	39:38	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	39:37	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41:39	46
10	Huetor Vega	34	12	9	13	43:42	45
11	Granada CF B	34	10	14	10	49:47	44
12	CD Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	41:41	43
13	Melilla B	34	9	12	13	30:32	39
14	Mancha	34	9	10	15	30:38	37
15	Huetor Tajar	34	9	10	15	40:44	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	32:48	37
17	CD Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	24:45	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	28:53	27