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Churriana de la Vega vs El Palo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Fernandez A.
81' Event
Moreno B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Churriana de la Vega and El Palo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Churriana de la Vega
28%
Draws
22%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Churriana de la Vega come out ahead of El Palo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Churriana de la Vega a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%
El Palo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churriana de la Vega El Palo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Churriana de la Vega
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs El Palo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

El Palo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 59 / 100
El Palo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churriana de la Vega El Palo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Churriana de la Vega scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Churriana de la Vega went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS El Palo
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327