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Stadium Background

Cianorte vs ASA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay, Cianorte
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jailson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Cianorte
35%
Draws
40%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cianorte haven't matched ASA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cianorte a 36% chance of winning this.
  • ASA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cianorte ASA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs Cianorte
5:1
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Cianorte vs ASA
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cianorte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Jailson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cianorte 46 / 100
ASA 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cianorte ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cianorte scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Cianorte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: ASA conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cianorte VS ASA
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cianorte

(Home)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

ASA

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3