Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cibalia vs Sesvete

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Cibalia, Vinkovci
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Grujevic M.
40'
Sare V.
58'
Sub
Jakovljevic V. In: Kanizaj V.
Out: Jakovljevic V.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Cibalia and Sesvete finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cibalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cibalia
20%
Draws
33%
Sesvete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cibalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sesvete haven't matched Cibalia's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cibalia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 68%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibalia Sesvete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Sesvete
2:0
Dec 4, 2025 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Sesvete
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Cibalia
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Cibalia
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Sesvete
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Grujevic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zabec D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sesvete Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibalia 68 / 100
Sesvete 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibalia Sesvete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cibalia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibalia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sesvete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cibalia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cibalia VS Sesvete
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibalia

(Home)
08 Aug
Cibalia
1 : 0
Mladost Zdralovi
22 Jul
Osijek
3 : 0
Cibalia
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
23 May
Cibalia
3 : 2
Orijent
15 May
Rudes
2 : 3
Cibalia
Page 1 of 6

Sesvete

(Away)
25 Jul
Slaven Belupo
4 : 0
Sesvete
22 Jul
Sesvete
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
15 Jul
Karlovac
0 : 0
Sesvete
29 May
Rudes
3 : 1
Sesvete
22 May
Sesvete
2 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)