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Cibao vs Real Hope

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Correa R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Cibao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cibao
20%
Draws
40%
Real Hope
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Real Hope haven't matched Cibao's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cibao's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cibao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cibao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cibao Clean Sheet 20%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibao Real Hope
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Cibao vs Real Hope
1:0
Oct 24, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Real Hope vs Cibao
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibao Compare

Top Goalscorer Correa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Real Hope Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibao 42 / 100
Real Hope 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibao Real Hope

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibao scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cibao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Real Hope let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cibao VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibao

(Home)
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
29 Aug
Atlantico FC
1 : 4
Cibao
25 Aug
Cibao
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
Page 1 of 6

Real Hope

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cavalier 7
Moca 0
Cibao 4
Real Hope 2
Final
Cavalier 2
Cibao 2
Moca 2
Real Hope 4