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Ciclon vs Amanecer

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2024 game between Ciclon and Amanecer finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ciclon
35%
Draws
32%
Amanecer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciclon come out ahead of Amanecer on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 16%
Amanecer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Amanecer
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.72 2
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Amanecer
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Amanecer vs Ciclon
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 36 / 100
Amanecer 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Amanecer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amanecer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amanecer has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ciclon scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Ciclon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS Amanecer
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 7

Amanecer

(Away)
02 Nov
Amanecer
1 : 5
Petrolero de Yacuiba
06 Oct
Petrolero de Yacuiba
5 : 0
Amanecer
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
08 Sept
Amanecer
3 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams