Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciclon vs El Tejar

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2024 game between Ciclon and El Tejar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciclon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ciclon
35%
Draws
19%
El Tejar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciclon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciclon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ciclon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 20%
El Tejar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon El Tejar
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
El Tejar vs Ciclon
3:3
Aug 25, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs El Tejar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 85 / 100
El Tejar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon El Tejar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciclon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Tejar has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ciclon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ciclon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS El Tejar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 6

El Tejar

(Away)
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
6 : 3
El Tejar
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2
El Tejar
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams