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Ciclon vs Quebracho Villa Montes

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2014/2015 game between Ciclon and Quebracho Villa Montes finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciclon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ciclon
30%
Draws
41%
Quebracho Villa Montes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quebracho Villa Montes come out ahead of Ciclon on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 18%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Quebracho Villa Montes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.74 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Quebracho Villa Montes
1:0
Oct 1, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
1:0
Dec 7, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Quebracho Villa Montes
3:1
Nov 16, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Ciclon
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 36 / 100
Quebracho Villa Montes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Quebracho Villa Montes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quebracho Villa Montes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ciclon scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Quebracho Villa Montes conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ciclon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS Quebracho Villa Montes
0.5 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 7

Quebracho Villa Montes

(Away)
10 Oct
Quebracho Villa Montes
2 : 1
Nacional Senac
03 Oct
Garcia Agreda
2 : 2
Quebracho Villa Montes
30 Sept
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
25 Sept
Nacional Senac
2 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
22 Sept
Quebracho Villa Montes
4 : 2
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 8 5 2 1 17:6 17
2 Destroyers 8 4 3 1 22:5 15
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
4 El Torno FC 8 3 1 4 18:14 10
5 Real Mapajo 8 0 0 8 2:34 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maestranza 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 4 1 3 18:11 13
3 Aurora 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Enrique Happ 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
5 Oruro Royal 8 0 1 7 7:27 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 7 1 0 26:6 22
2 Ciclon 8 5 1 2 24:12 16
3 Fancesa 8 4 2 2 21:15 14
4 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 1 0 7 13:20 3
5 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 1 0 7 15:46 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)