Sport Picks
Ciduad de Plasencia vs Merida UD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Ciduad de Plasencia and Merida UD finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciduad de Plasencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merida UD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Merida UD carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Merida UD's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Merida UD have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ciduad de Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciduad de Plasencia | Merida UD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 1 | 23 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 28 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.39 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 3.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Ciduad de Plasencia
3:0
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Ciduad de Plasencia vs Merida UD
0:4
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Ciduad de Plasencia vs Merida UD
3:1
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Ciduad de Plasencia
1:0
Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Ciduad de Plasencia vs Merida UD
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciduad de Plasencia 10 / 100
Merida UD 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciduad de Plasencia Merida UD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merida UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Ciduad de Plasencia scored in 45% of their last 31 games.
Merida UD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.
Merida UD lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciduad de Plasencia VS Merida UD
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
4.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
86% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciduad de Plasencia
(Home) 08 May
UP Plasencia
6 : 1 Ciduad de Plasencia
04 May
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 2 Hernan Cortes
01 May
Pueblonuevo
7 : 1 Ciduad de Plasencia
26 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 4 CD Coria
19 Apr
Castuera
4 : 1 Ciduad de Plasencia
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04 May
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 2 Hernan Cortes
26 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 4 CD Coria
17 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 4 Fuente de Cantos
06 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
0 : 5 Extremadura UD
23 Mar
Ciduad de Plasencia
2 : 2 Cacereno II
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Merida UD
(Away) 22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
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22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
18 May
Real Avila
0 : 1 Merida UD
09 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Merida UD
01 May
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 1 Merida UD
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
