Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013

UD Badajoz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciduad de Plasencia play UD Badajoz in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013. UD Badajoz are favorites here. Recently, Ciduad de Plasencia averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. UD Badajoz averaged 2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ciduad de Plasencia won 2, UD Badajoz won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 23, 2014 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.25 for Ciduad de Plasencia and 3.13 for UD Badajoz. This points to a UD Badajoz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Ciduad de Plasencia

15%

Draws

75%

UD Badajoz

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ciduad de Plasencia picked up more points recently compared to UD Badajoz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.25 vs 3.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Ciduad de Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%

UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 26%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciduad de Plasencia	UD Badajoz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	1	21
Draws	2	5
Losses	27	4
Goals Scored	0.67	2
Goals Conceded	3.43	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.38	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs Ciduad de Plasencia

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

7:0

Oct 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Ciduad de Plasencia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Ciduad de Plasencia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs Ciduad de Plasencia

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Ciduad de Plasencia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciduad de Plasencia 11 / 100

UD Badajoz 73 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciduad de Plasencia UD Badajoz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (2)

Secondary Pick UD Badajoz & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +400%

50.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciduad de Plasencia attacking → ← attacking UD Badajoz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciduad de Plasencia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

UD Badajoz let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ciduad de Plasencia went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

UD Badajoz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 68

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

4.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Extremadura UD	38	27	8	3	75:14	89
2	UD Badajoz	38	24	8	6	67:24	80
3	Don Benito	38	23	10	5	55:23	79
4	Diter Zafra	38	22	11	5	57:23	77
5	Jerez CF	38	16	11	11	51:37	59
6	Merida UD	38	15	11	12	47:38	56
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	15	10	13	50:38	55
8	UP Plasencia	38	15	10	13	55:47	55
9	Santa Amalia	38	15	8	15	52:54	53
10	CD Coria	38	14	9	15	47:48	51
11	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	14	6	18	44:58	48
12	Pueblonuevo	38	11	10	17	41:60	43
13	Miajadas	38	12	7	19	40:56	43
14	RCP Valverdeno	38	11	9	18	40:56	42
15	Hernan Cortes	38	11	8	19	36:64	41
16	Cacereno II	38	10	10	18	48:57	40
17	Fuente de Cantos	38	10	9	19	42:68	39
18	Moralo	38	7	17	14	33:52	38
19	Emerita Augusta	38	8	7	23	44:77	31
20	Valdelacalzada	38	7	7	24	35:65	28