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Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Botafogo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Succar M.
Assist: Hohberg A.
20' Event
Bandiera N.
Assist: Amondarain M.
30' Event
Succar M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 6-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cienciano
30%
Draws
29%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cienciano come out ahead of Botafogo RJ on wins alone.
  • Cienciano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Cienciano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cienciano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Botafogo RJ vs Cienciano
1:0
Aug 14, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Botafogo RJ
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Succar M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bandiera N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 77 / 100
Botafogo RJ 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cienciano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Botafogo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Cienciano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Botafogo RJ
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo RJ

(Away)
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -