Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Juventud

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Pernicone P.
20' Event
Becerra K.
Assist: Souza Espana C.
57'
Mimbacas F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cienciano
30%
Draws
23%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cienciano come out ahead of Juventud on wins alone.
  • Cienciano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cienciano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 20%
Juventud Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Juventud
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cienciano vs Juventud
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Juventud vs Cienciano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Becerra K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecchini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 85 / 100
Juventud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cienciano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS Juventud
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1
Botafogo RJ
06 Aug
Alianza Atl.
1 : 0
Cienciano
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0
Lanus
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1
Montevideo City
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0
Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)