Sport Picks
Cienciano vs Los Chankas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
14'
14'
Melgarejo H.
40'
40'
Velarde C.
46'
46'
Sub
Espinoza Gomes I. In: Falcon G.
Out: Espinoza Gomes I.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Cienciano and Los Chankas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cienciano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Cienciano taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 20%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cienciano | Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Los Chankas
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cienciano
1:0
Aug 5, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Los Chankas
3:0
Mar 23, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cienciano
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Los Chankas
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cienciano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Los Chankas Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrios K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cienciano 85 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cienciano Los Chankas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cienciano scored in 74% of their last 38 outings.
Defensive concern: Los Chankas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Cienciano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Los Chankas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cienciano VS Los Chankas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cienciano
(Home) 30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
Page 1 of 8
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2 Cusco
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 5
Los Chankas
(Away) 30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4 Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
07 Aug
Sport Huancayo
1 : 1 Los Chankas
24 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
